Neither side have been all that consistent of late, but Lorient have their share of glaring holes at the back when compared to Lens, and we believe the home side will be able to capitalise on that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lorient
63.21% ( -0.34)	20.09% ( 0.03)	16.69% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 55.16% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.9% (

0.45)

40.1% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

0.46)

62.47% (

-0.46)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

0.04)

12.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.38% (

0.09)

37.62% (

-0.09)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

0.65)

37.26% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

0.64)

74.04% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Lens 63.21%

Lorient 16.69%

Draw 20.09%

Lens	Draw	Lorient
2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 63.21%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.09%	1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.69%