SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
75.35% ( 0.06) | 15.98% ( -0.02) | 8.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.48% ( 0.01) | 41.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.08% ( 0.01) | 63.92% ( -0.01) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.64% ( 0.02) | 9.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.46% ( 0.04) | 31.54% ( -0.04) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.7% ( -0.06) | 51.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.46% ( -0.04) | 85.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 2-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.37% 3-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 75.33% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.98% | 0-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 8.67% |
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