Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.