Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%).