Cadiz know that only a win will guarantee their survival for another matchday, but after failing to win any of their 17 away league games, we think that the visitors will fall to a narrow defeat against a Sevilla side that has won four of their last five home matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
-0.51) 
0.2) 
