Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
62.77% (![]() | 19.04% (![]() | 18.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.75% (![]() | 32.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.14% (![]() | 53.86% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.1% (![]() | 9.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.22% (![]() | 32.78% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% (![]() | 30.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% (![]() | 67.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.6% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.77% | 1-1 @ 8.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.04% | 1-2 @ 4.89% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.46% Total : 18.19% |
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