SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
62.77% ( -0.42) | 19.04% ( 0.14) | 18.19% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 62.35% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.75% ( -0.2) | 32.25% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.14% ( -0.23) | 53.86% ( 0.22) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( -0.16) | 9.89% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.22% ( -0.37) | 32.78% ( 0.36) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( 0.16) | 30.8% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% ( 0.19) | 67.07% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.77% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.04% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.46% Total : 18.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
