SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 38.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.53%) and 2-0 (4.76%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
38.85% ( -0.19) | 22.5% ( 0.03) | 38.64% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 67.36% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.75% ( -0.15) | 33.24% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0.17) | 55% ( 0.17) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -0.14) | 17.88% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.34% ( -0.25) | 48.65% ( 0.25) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( 0) | 17.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% ( 0) | 48.81% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 38.64% |
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