SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | VfL Bochum |
42.58% ( -0.34) | 24.3% ( -0.05) | 33.12% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.95% ( 0.36) | 43.05% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.55% ( 0.36) | 65.45% ( -0.35) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% | 20.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% ( -0) | 52.78% ( 0.01) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( 0.41) | 25.24% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( 0.56) | 59.99% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.12% |
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