Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Ternana win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.