Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
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