Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Uniao de Leiria win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
-1.17) 
0.07) 
