Uniao de Leiria are in for a tough 90 minutes against a star-studded Sporting Lisbon side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Amorim's men to claim a comfortable victory at the Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Uniao de Leiria win it was 1-0 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
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