Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Tvaaker had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Tvaaker win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
