SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Degerfors |
35.42% ( -0.01) | 25.83% ( 0.04) | 38.74% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( -0.18) | 49.5% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( -0.17) | 71.53% ( 0.17) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( -0.09) | 26.95% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( -0.12) | 62.29% ( 0.13) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -0.1) | 25.08% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( -0.14) | 59.76% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Degerfors |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.74% |
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