Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for IFK Goteborg in this match.
Result | ||
Varbergs BoIS | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
26.3% ( 1.32) | 23.77% ( 0.31) | 49.93% ( -1.63) |
Both teams to score 57.04% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.58% ( -0.25) | 44.41% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.21% ( -0.25) | 66.78% ( 0.25) |
Varbergs BoIS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% ( 0.91) | 30.54% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.23% ( 1.07) | 66.77% ( -1.07) |
IFK Goteborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( -0.71) | 17.87% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% ( -1.23) | 48.65% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Varbergs BoIS | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.3% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.93% |
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