SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 86.79%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 4-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
86.79% ( 0.06) | 9.13% ( -0.04) | 4.09% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.06% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.54% ( 0.1) | 26.46% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.2% ( 0.13) | 46.8% ( -0.13) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.97% ( 0.03) | 4.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.04% ( 0.08) | 16.96% ( -0.08) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.91% ( -0.02) | 54.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.67% ( -0.01) | 87.33% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 3-0 @ 12.03% 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0)1-0 @ 7% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)7-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 86.78% | 1-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 9.13% | 0-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 4.09% |
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