Roma's revival under Daniele De Rossi - who recently extended his short-term contract by three years - has started to falter, so plucky Genoa could leave the capital with a point.
The Grifone never know when they are beaten, and they possess sufficient firepower to test their hosts' increasingly leaky defence.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.
-0.11) 
0.07) 
