SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
40.76% ( 0.91) | 26.15% ( 0.28) | 33.09% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( -1.42) | 51.29% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( -1.26) | 73.12% ( 1.26) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.17) | 24.83% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( -0.23) | 59.41% ( 0.23) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -1.45) | 29.27% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( -1.81) | 65.23% ( 1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.09% |
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