Both these sides need three points here but for very different reasons. Based on form and league position, the hosts should come through this one with a comfortable victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
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