SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | El Salvador |
71.08% ( -0.94) | 18.34% ( 0.42) | 10.58% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 43.82% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0.33) | 46.22% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( -0.31) | 68.51% ( 0.3) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( -0.35) | 11.71% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.17% ( -0.75) | 36.83% ( 0.74) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.63% ( 0.82) | 50.36% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.09% ( 0.56) | 84.91% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | El Salvador |
| 2-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 12.65% 3-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 71.07% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.57% Total : 18.34% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.58% |
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