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CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Mar 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
 
ES

USA
1 - 0
El Salvador

Pepi (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reyes (66')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between USA and El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-7 USA
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England377
2USA315
3Iran3-33
4Wales3-51
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawEl Salvador
71.08% (-0.93900000000001 -0.94) 18.34% (0.416 0.42) 10.58% (0.522 0.52)
Both teams to score 43.82% (0.556 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.328 -0.33)46.22% (0.324 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.307 -0.31)68.51% (0.304 0.3)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)11.71% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.17% (-0.747 -0.75)36.83% (0.744 0.74)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.63% (0.819 0.82)50.36% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.09% (0.556 0.56)84.91% (-0.559 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    USA 71.07%
    El Salvador 10.58%
    Draw 18.34%
USADrawEl Salvador
2-0 @ 13.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 9.7% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 71.07%
1-1 @ 8.68% (0.204 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.19% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.34%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 2.98% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.39% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grenada 1-7 USA
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 0-0 Colombia
Sunday, January 29 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Serbia
Thursday, January 26 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 3-1 USA
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Iran 0-1 USA
Tuesday, November 29 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: England 0-0 USA
Friday, November 25 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 1-0 El Salvador
Thursday, November 17 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: El Salvador 1-4 Peru
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, June 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 3-1 Grenada
Sunday, June 5 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League


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