Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
Result | ||
USA | Draw | Mexico |
39.32% (![]() | 28.83% (![]() | 31.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.4% (![]() | 61.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.56% (![]() | 81.44% (![]() |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% (![]() | 30.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% (![]() | 66.73% (![]() |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.58% (![]() | 35.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.82% (![]() | 72.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
USA | Draw | Mexico |
1-0 @ 12.82% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 13.31% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 11.21% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.85% |
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