Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 5.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.31%) and 1-0 (13.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.