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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | AEK Athens |
19.47% ( 0.16) | 23.15% ( 0.05) | 57.39% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( 0) | 49.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( 0) | 71.11% |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( 0.18) | 39.38% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( 0.16) | 76.08% ( -0.16) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( -0.07) | 16.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.17% ( -0.13) | 46.84% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.52% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 57.39% |
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