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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 88.5%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 2.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.2%) and 4-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | PAS Giannina |
88.5% ( -0.17) | 8.6% ( 0.13) | 2.9% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 33.55% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.87% ( -0.47) | 32.13% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.28% ( -0.55) | 53.72% ( 0.55) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.32% ( -0.11) | 4.67% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.01% ( -0.33) | 18.98% ( 0.33) |
| PAS Giannina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.19% ( -0.13) | 64.8% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.08% ( -0.06) | 92.91% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | PAS Giannina |
| 3-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 14.2% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 88.48% | 1-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 8.6% | 0-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 2.9% |
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