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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
3 - 0
OFI Crete

Ponce (28', 67'), van Weert (90+6')
Pilios (78'), Mantalos (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Riera (46')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and OFI Crete.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atromitos 0-5 AEK Athens
Sunday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: OFI Crete 1-0 Panetolikos
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 12.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawOFI Crete
68.81% (0.052000000000007 0.05) 19.03% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 12.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.91% (0.041999999999994 0.04)45.09% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (0.039999999999999 0.04)67.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99% (0.028000000000006 0.03)12.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.54% (0.055999999999997 0.06)37.46% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
OFI Crete Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.2% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)46.8% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.66% (-0.012 -0.01)82.34% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 68.8%
    OFI Crete 12.17%
    Draw 19.03%
AEK AthensDrawOFI Crete
2-0 @ 12.62%
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 8.92% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.73% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 68.8%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.03%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 12.17%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Atromitos 0-5 AEK Athens
Sunday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 Panathinaikos
Sunday, January 14 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-2 AEK Athens
Sunday, January 7 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 Volos
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panserraikos 2-2 AEK Athens
Thursday, December 21 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panetolikos 2-2 AEK Athens
Monday, December 18 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: OFI Crete 1-0 Panetolikos
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Atromitos 1-1 OFI Crete
Saturday, January 13 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: OFI Crete 1-1 Lamia
Monday, January 8 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 4-0 OFI Crete
Wednesday, January 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: OFI Crete 0-2 Asteras
Thursday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aris 1-0 OFI Crete
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in Greek Superleague


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