Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
