SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Kallithea had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Kallithea win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Kallithea |
45.56% ( 0.59) | 27.84% ( 0.16) | 26.6% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 45.06% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.85% ( -0.91) | 60.15% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.64% ( -0.7) | 80.35% ( 0.7) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0.12) | 26.39% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( -0.16) | 61.55% ( 0.16) |
| Kallithea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% ( -1.14) | 38.78% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -1.09) | 75.52% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Kallithea |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.6% |
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