SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | PAS Giannina |
63.38% ( -0.07) | 21.93% ( 0.15) | 14.68% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.69% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% ( -0.72) | 51.71% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.52% ( -0.62) | 73.48% ( 0.63) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( -0.27) | 15.73% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.18% ( -0.49) | 44.82% ( 0.49) |
| PAS Giannina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.03% ( -0.54) | 46.97% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.54% ( -0.41) | 82.46% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | PAS Giannina |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 63.37% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.2% Total : 14.69% |
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