Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.27%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest PAS Giannina win was 1-0 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Panathinaikos in this match.