Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.