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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis

Asteras
1 - 0
Larissa

Barrales (60')
Kotsiras (69'), Barrales (73'), Suarez (79'), Tsiftsis (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Michail (47'), Durmishaj (65'), Iliadis (69'), Zizic (80')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and AEL Larissa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.

Result
Asteras TripolisDrawAEL Larissa
58.65%24.44%16.91%
Both teams to score 42.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66%57.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84%78.16%
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56%19.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71%51.28%
AEL Larissa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.69%47.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.28%82.72%
Score Analysis
    Asteras Tripolis 58.65%
    AEL Larissa 16.91%
    Draw 24.43%
Asteras TripolisDrawAEL Larissa
1-0 @ 15.06%
2-0 @ 12.33%
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 5.04%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.89%
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 58.65%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 9.2%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 6.89%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.58%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.91%

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