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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis

Aris
1 - 0
Larissa

Rose (30')
Bertoglio (37'), Ioannou (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinakas (44'), Colombino (54'), Durmishaj (78'), Milosavljevic (87')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and AEL Larissa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.4%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.

Result
Aris ThessalonikiDrawAEL Larissa
62.8%22.97%14.23%
Both teams to score 40.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.69%56.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66%77.34%
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46%17.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93%48.07%
AEL Larissa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.56%50.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.04%84.96%
Score Analysis
    Aris Thessaloniki 62.79%
    AEL Larissa 14.23%
    Draw 22.97%
Aris ThessalonikiDrawAEL Larissa
1-0 @ 15.39%
2-0 @ 13.4%
2-1 @ 9.17%
3-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.82%
5-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 62.79%
1-1 @ 10.54%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.97%
0-1 @ 6.05%
1-2 @ 3.61%
0-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 14.23%

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