Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.4%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.