Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
