SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.55%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Ionikos win it was 1-0 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ionikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
11.69% ( 0.19) | 19.78% ( 0.21) | 68.53% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 42.99% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.39) | 49.44% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -0.35) | 71.48% ( 0.35) |
| Ionikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.1) | 50.36% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.09% ( 0.07) | 84.91% ( -0.06) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.24) | 13.39% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.7% ( -0.48) | 40.3% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ionikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 11.69% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.78% | 0-2 @ 13.63% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 9.14% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.59% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 68.52% |
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