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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | AEK Athens |
17.79% ( -0.14) | 22.19% ( -0.05) | 60.02% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( 0.01) | 47.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( 0.01) | 69.7% ( -0.01) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.62% ( -0.16) | 40.38% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23% ( -0.14) | 77% ( 0.14) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( 0.06) | 15.41% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.77% ( 0.12) | 44.23% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.79% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.88% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.78% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 60.01% |
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