SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Ionikos win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ionikos | Draw | Olympiacos |
20.08% ( -0.79) | 24.68% ( -0.25) | 55.25% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( 0.03) | 54.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( 0.02) | 75.65% ( -0.02) |
| Ionikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( -0.84) | 41.73% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( -0.74) | 78.2% ( 0.74) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( 0.42) | 19.57% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.51% ( 0.68) | 51.49% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ionikos | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.08% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.27)1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.24% |
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