SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ionikos win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ionikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ionikos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ionikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
43.8% ( -0.06) | 28.86% | 27.34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.91% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.9% ( 0.02) | 63.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.46% ( 0.02) | 82.54% ( -0.02) |
| Ionikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.02) | 28.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( -0.03) | 64.54% ( 0.03) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% ( 0.07) | 39.8% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% ( 0.06) | 76.47% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ionikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 27.33% |
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