Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.