SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 43.87%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Panathinaikos |
25.94% ( 0.09) | 30.18% ( 0.05) | 43.87% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 38.95% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.43% ( -0.11) | 67.57% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.35% ( -0.07) | 85.65% ( 0.07) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.37% ( 0.01) | 43.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% ( 0.01) | 79.81% ( -0.01) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% ( -0.14) | 30.91% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.8% ( -0.16) | 67.2% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.93% | 0-0 @ 13.48% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.18% | 0-1 @ 15.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.87% |
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