Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.