The two teams are not far apart in the Group F standings, but Panathinaikos have had a much better run of late, while Rennes have lost their last three games in all competitions.
Home ground should also benefit Panathinaikos, as they are unbeaten in their last two home games, while Rennes have failed to win any of their last five away games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
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