SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 80.22%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 5.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.78%) and 3-0 (12.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Panetolikos |
80.22% ( 0.09) | 13.98% ( -0.05) | 5.8% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 36.23% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( 0.07) | 43.4% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( 0.07) | 65.8% ( -0.07) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.34% ( 0.04) | 8.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.15% ( 0.09) | 29.84% ( -0.09) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.67% ( -0.07) | 60.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.18% ( -0.04) | 90.82% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Panetolikos |
| 2-0 @ 15.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 80.21% | 1-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 13.98% | 0-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 5.8% |
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