SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Kuwait had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Kuwait win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Kuwait |
45.71% ( -0.35) | 26.55% ( -0.1) | 27.73% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% ( 0.62) | 54.96% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.76% ( 0.51) | 76.23% ( -0.51) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.1) | 23.98% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( 0.15) | 58.22% ( -0.15) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( 0.7) | 35% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( 0.73) | 71.75% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Kuwait |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.73% |
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