SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iraq win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Bahrain has a probability of 30.6% and a draw has a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.92%) and 1-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Bahrain win is 1-0 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.41%).
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Iraq |
30.6% ( -0.04) | 29.92% ( -0.01) | 39.48% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.68% ( 0.02) | 65.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.88% ( 0.02) | 84.11% ( -0.02) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( -0.02) | 38.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.84% ( -0.02) | 75.15% ( 0.02) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( 0.04) | 32.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( 0.05) | 68.81% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Iraq |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.6% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.9% | 0-1 @ 14.01% 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.47% |
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