SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Indonesia |
47.97% ( 2.23) | 24.59% ( 0.01) | 27.44% ( -2.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -1.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( -1.38) | 47.16% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( -1.3) | 69.4% ( 1.3) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( 0.38) | 19.73% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( 0.62) | 51.75% ( -0.62) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -2.32) | 31.11% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -2.8) | 67.44% ( 2.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Indonesia |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.64)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.97% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.44% |
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