World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 15, 2024 at 7pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Saudi Arabia
vs.
Bahrain

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Bahrain

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Indonesia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

We say: Saudi Arabia 3-1 Bahrain

While Bahrain have picked up two positive results in their three outings, including a phenomenal 1-0 win against Australia, we believe Saudi Arabia boast more talent throughout their squad, suggesting a win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 44.98%. A draw has a probability of 28.6% and a win for Bahrain has a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Bahrain win it is 0-1 (10.19%).

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Bahrain
44.98% ( 1.39)	28.57% ( -0.03)	26.45% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 43.1% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.41% (

-0.51)

62.58% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.83% (

-0.37)

82.16% (

0.37)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

0.49)

27.83% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.63)

63.43% (

-0.63)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.72% (

-1.44)

40.28% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09% (

-1.34)

76.91% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 44.97%

Bahrain 26.44%

Draw 28.56%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Bahrain
1-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.67% Total : 44.97%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.34% Total : 26.44%