SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for China had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | China |
62.65% ( 0) | 21.99% | 15.36% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% ( 0) | 50.74% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( 0) | 72.63% ( -0) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% | 15.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( 0) | 44.66% |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0) | 45.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.73% | 81.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | China |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% 2-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.01% Total : 62.64% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.1% 0-2 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.36% |
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