SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Kuwait had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Kuwait win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Kuwait |
60.42% ( -0.58) | 22.73% ( 0.29) | 16.84% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( -0.68) | 51.18% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( -0.6) | 73.03% ( 0.6) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( -0.43) | 16.54% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.79) | 46.31% ( 0.79) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.04) | 43.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.1% ( -0.03) | 79.9% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Kuwait |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.85% Total : 60.41% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.84% |
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