SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
58.09% ( -10.94) | 23.03% ( 3.89) | 18.88% ( 7.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( 4.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -2.97) | 49.35% ( 2.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -2.73) | 71.4% ( 2.73) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( -4.38) | 16.7% ( 4.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.4% ( -8.47) | 46.6% ( 8.47) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.78% ( 7.97) | 40.22% ( -7.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.15% ( 6.52) | 76.85% ( -6.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -2.26)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -2.67)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.79)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -1.88)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.86)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.96)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.52)Other @ 1.95% Total : 58.09% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 1.87) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.78)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.99)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 1.78) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 1.67)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 1.2)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.71)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.51)Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.88% |
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