SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Iran |
30.27% ( -5.02) | 25.44% ( -0.86) | 44.29% ( 5.88) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( 2.29) | 49.22% ( -2.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( 2.03) | 71.28% ( -2.03) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( -2.12) | 30.12% ( 2.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.74% ( -2.63) | 66.26% ( 2.63) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( 4) | 22.19% ( -4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( 5.68) | 55.59% ( -5.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -1.31) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.72)2-0 @ 4.81% ( -1.13)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.6)Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.71)0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.99)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.82)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.86)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.36)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.46)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.45)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.29% |
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