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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Milliy Stadion
UA

Uzbekistan
vs.
UAE

 
FT

Hamad (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Iran
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Qatar vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: UAE 1-1 North Korea
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: UAE vs. Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Uzbekistan 1-0 United Arab Emirates

Recording a shutout versus the dangerous Iran last time out, Group A leaders Uzbekistan will be extremely confident of grinding out a win against the UAE on Tuesday night. Al Abyad were marvellous during their away trip to Qatar last month, but we feel that Bento's troops will fall short of repeating the trick in Tashkent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw has a probability of 26.8% and a win for United Arab Emirates has a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.13%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it is 0-1 (8.35%).

Result
UzbekistanDrawUnited Arab Emirates
53.21% (-4.064 -4.06) 26.77% (1.282 1.28) 20.02% (2.782 2.78)
Both teams to score 41.37% (0.959 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.52% (-1.078 -1.08)61.47% (1.077 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65% (-0.808 -0.81)81.35% (0.80799999999999 0.81)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-2.169 -2.17)23.37% (2.169 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65% (-3.258 -3.26)57.35% (3.258 3.26)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (2.703 2.7)46.01% (-2.702 -2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.27% (2.022 2.02)81.73% (-2.021 -2.02)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 53.2%
    United Arab Emirates 20.02%
    Draw 26.76%
UzbekistanDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 15.63% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-1.06 -1.06)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.918 -0.92)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.346 -0.35)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.61 0.61)
0-0 @ 10.75% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.919 0.92)
1-2 @ 4.71% (0.567 0.57)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.569 0.57)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Iran
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, September 5 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-1 Turkmenistan
Thursday, June 6 at 3.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-0 Hong Kong
Tuesday, March 26 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: UAE 1-1 North Korea
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 UAE
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: UAE 1-1 Bahrain
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Nepal 0-4 UAE
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Yemen 0-3 UAE
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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